BF Forecasts is a provider of residual value data to captive finance companies, automotive leasing companies, automotive manufacturers, and banks for various internal analysis and external applications.
BF Forecasts licensed Generic residual values are available in Euro and percentage format and in comma-delimitated format.
Please contact our Data Services Department to learn more about this valuable service.
Data service
BF Forecasts is a provider of residual value data to captive finance companies, automotive leasing companies, automotive manufacturers, and banks for various internal analysis and external applications.
BF Forecasts licensed Generic residual values are available in Euro and percentage format and in comma-delimitated format.
Please contact our Data Services Department to learn more about this valuable service.
Portfolio Analysis
Since 1998, BF Forecasts has provided new and used vehicle portfolio analysis for major customers throughout Europe. Portfolio Analysis Products provide customers with a simple means to analyze risk and variables of risk, including return rates and historic trends for various portfolios. Listed below are several functions and capabilities offered by Portfolio Analysis Products.
Residual Risk Analysis
measures residual risk exposure in a lease portfolio. In essence, it is a re-projection of the residual values of vehicles in a specific portfolio based on current re-sale information and actual depreciation. Residual Risk Analysis matches Vehicle Identification Numbers from lease portfolios and projects a lease end value based upon the current BF Forecasts database. This new re-projection is compared to the original residual value to determine the current projection of loss or gain on each vehicle and of the portfolio as a whole. Residual Risk Analysis provides a detailed account of each lease, as well as a summarized report of the entire portfolio. Reports are summarized by portfolio, registration date, make, model, month, and can be customized to accommodate clients’ needs.
Return Rate Analysis
is the same concept as Residual Risk Analysis, but incorporates return rates found in various customers’ lease portfolios. BF Forecasts analyzes a client’s historic return rate and creates a new return rate probability model based upon historical and industry benchmark data. Return rate models are then applied to risk analysis, creating a report that predicts currently projected gain or loss based upon return rates.
Residual values
BF Forecasts has developed an in-house system which combines macro economic environment, as well as macro economic predictions with the actual new car market development throughout Europe.
The Residual Value Model analyzes:
- macro economic variables
- segment assumptions
- historical analysis of car segments and performances
- vehicle lifecycle adjustment
- brand-model assumptions
- subjective factors (as a result of test drives, tests, and crash tests) and projected future trends.
This residual value model is used to create custom residuals for our clients’ specific purposes.
CE Studies
BF Forecasts is analyzing the historical data and the competitors of a specific car that a manufacturer will launch.
BF Forecasts studies the used market trends of the past 5 years to create a product life cycle depreciation as well as macro economic assumptions for forecasting vehicle residual values for the next 5 years.
This process is unique within each vehicle segment and country.
BF Forecasts provides clients with a complete understanding of the assumptions that drive the residual value modeling.
Contact
✉ sales@bfforecasts.com
☎ +49 6898 93392-0